Thursday, December 28, 2006

Animation: It's All About The Release Date

VARIETY: Timing's everything for toons
Release dates can make an impact on box office By BEN FRITZ

Surveying the most crowded year in history for animated features, there's no escaping the fact that the right release date helps. A lot.

Successful toons tend to have very strong legs, dropping just 20%-30% each week. Those legs can get cut off, however, when another animated feature for families opens.

DreamWorks' "Over the Hedge," for instance, had a decent $38 million bow and declined less than 30% in its second and third weekends. In its fourth frame, however, "Cars" opened, and "Hedge" took a 50% hit, putting a big dent in its B.O. momentum.

Similarly, DWA's "Flushed Away" went from a 12% drop in its second frame to a 60% drop in its third, when "Happy Feet" bowed.

The year's three big hits all had relatively open playing fields following their bows. Competitors stayed far away from "Cars," giving the Pixar toon six full weeks until the next toon opened. That helped it hit $244 million in domestic box office.

"Ice Age: the Meltdown" also had six weeks to itself (with the exception of Disney's outside pickup "The Wild," a B.O. dud), giving it the legs to gross $195 million.

"Happy Feet" is also showing strong legs and benefiting from the absence of other family toons, since Disney moved "Meet the Robinsons" from December to March. Closest competitor are kid-targeted pics "Charlotte's Web," which saw a muted bow, and "A Night at the Museum."

Of course, an open berth until the next toon preems doesn't inherently create success. Sony's "Open Season" had five weeks with the animated market largely to itself and managed only $84 million.

But for animated features that can muster a solid opening, it sure helps to have some breathing room.

Labels: , ,

2 Comments:

Blogger Dennis said...

That's an interesting analysis. I wonder how this is going to effect the landscape of animated movies. With more and more being made, will companies just make them and sit on them until a healthy release date comes up? I know there is a lot of that now, but pretty soon it's going to be a cartoon minefield.

What would be great is if something new came out of this. So many cartoons are aimed at younger audiences. Which is fine, but I wonder if some companies will switch it up and not worry so much about release date, but drawing a different crowd. Instead of trying taking the same peoples money over and over again until they're reticent to give it up should something else aimed at them come out.

Thanks for the post.

4:45 PM  
Blogger Jeff Pidgeon said...

I think (in general) that studios will try to get the best slot they can in the season that they're slated to finish production. To some degree, getting a good pick of the former may determine the latter.

I don't think crowded release schedules will influnce content, though. I think that two things affect that:

A) All the 'kid films' bomb; or
B) Someone makes an animated film meant for adults that turns a huge profit.

American animation is generally biased toward families; and I think only the promise of big money could change that.

9:53 PM  

Post a Comment

<< Home